Non-linearities, state-dependent prices and the transmission mechanism of monetary policy

Abstract

A sticky price theory of the transmission mechanism of monetary policy shocks based on state-dependent pricing yields two testable implications, that do not hold in time-dependent models. First, large monetary policy shocks should yield proportionally larger initial responses of the price level. Second, in a high trend inflation regime, the response of the price level to monetary policy shocks should be larger and real effects smaller. Our analysis provides evidence supporting these non-linear effects in the response of the price level in aggregate US data, indicating state-dependent pricing as an important feature of the transmission mechanism of monetary policy.

Publication
The Economic Journal, Volume 132, Issue 641, January 2022, Pages 37–57
Timo Haber
Timo Haber
Research Economist